[Rasp] Several RASP days not updates since yesterday
Ian
ian at zomerlust.org
Thu Apr 9 11:16:14 SAST 2026
There was one run which failed to converge. Ie the model got into a loop
where instead of each step getting closer to a solution the results
started to diverge again. This leads to a model crash.
It is caused by an anomaly in the input data - often associated with
unusual weather events like "cut off lows" (but that was not the cause
of recent crashes). This coupled with compromises made when the model
was constructed makes the model run crash. It happens on a handful of
runs a year.
In order to avoid this, the model would have to have smaller "time step"
intervals and/or a smaller "resolution ratio" ie 12km -> 4km -> 1.3km.
That would make it run slower and use more computer time and electric
power. The parameters selected were a compromise that work most of the time.
When this happens I have seen the same date forecast crash on subsequent
forecasts runs, ie 1 day ahead, night before etc.
If you see this, have a look at the alternate model legacy vs beta. It
is possible one crashes when the other manages to resolve.
Regards
Ian
On 4/8/26 20:40, AirSchool Paragliding wrote:
> Greetings all
>
> Just noticed that a few of the RASP days haven't been updated since
> yesterday e.g. RASP 1.3km d0 and d2, RASP 2km d4 and d5
>
> Many thanks
> Ria
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